NASDAQ-100 (^NDX)Nasdaq GIDS
28,958.69 USD
-863.83
(-2.897%) ⇩
(Oct. 22, 2026, 5:15 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:50 a.m. EDT
The NASDAQ-100 is exhibiting classic 'bull trap' characteristics, trading near its 52-week high while technical indicators scream caution. Despite being +11.9% above its 200-day average, the index is stuck below its 50-day average, confirming a failed breakout attempt. The overwhelming options data—specifically the 99%+ OTM put positioning—reveals that smart money is betting on a severe pullback rather than continuation. With the statistical model predicting a -2% move and the market hovering just 2% below its yearly peak, the setup favors a mean reversion crash over a new leg higher. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.021555 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.021565 |
| MSTL | 0.021676 |
| AutoTheta | 0.022746 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 57% |
| H-stat | 0.81 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.145 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.26 |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:50 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for downside protection with massive out-of-the-money put volume and open interest (OTM OI > 90% on Oct 16/21), creating a 'put wall' at strikes like 22k-28k. Conversely, call activity shows significant new flow into OTM strikes (31k-43k) but is heavily capped by established OTM OI walls, suggesting a 'long gamma' environment where rallies face immediate resistance. The skew indicates fear of a sharp correction outweighing hopes for a breakout.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 18.82708 |
| All Time High | 31,361.37 |
| All Time Low | 106.75 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 0 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 8,089,713,000 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 8,131,094,531 |
| Average Volume | 8,131,094,531 |
| Average Volume10Days | 8,089,713,000 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 0 |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 29,411.762 |
| Day Low | 28,855.1 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NIM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 29,867.447 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -908.75977 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.03042643 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 18.82708 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 31,361.37 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -2,402.6816 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.07661278 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 22,841.42 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 6,117.2676 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.26781467 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 22,841.42 - 31361.37 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 497,021,400,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | Nasdaq GIDS |
| Fullday Change | -863.8301 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -2.89657 |
| Fullday Price | 28,958.688 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Long Name | NASDAQ-100 |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | POST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_INDEXNDX |
| Open | 29,304.3 |
| Previous Close | 29,822.518 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | INDEX |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -863.8301 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -2.89657 |
| Regular Market Day High | 29,411.762 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 28,855.1 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 28,855.1 - 29411.762 |
| Regular Market Open | 29,304.3 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 29,822.518 |
| Regular Market Price | 28,958.688 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,703,759 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,699,748,000 |
| Short Name | NASDAQ-100 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | ^NDX |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 27,802.906 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 1,155.7812 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.04157052 |
| Type Disp | Index |
| Volume | 1,699,748,000 |